Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.069446 0.082017 0.096089 0.112992 0.132726 0.155022 0.182109
2025-05-18 0.051927 0.068716 0.089604 0.117427 0.153435 0.198381 0.258660
2025-05-25 0.038904 0.056307 0.079827 0.113780 0.161358 0.225454 0.318128
2025-06-01 0.031417 0.048984 0.074410 0.113625 0.172266 0.256316 0.385457
2025-06-08 0.025733 0.042832 0.069109 0.112042 0.179957 0.282640 0.448854
2025-06-15 0.022375 0.039468 0.067167 0.114782 0.193918 0.319277 0.531618
2025-06-22 0.018972 0.035331 0.063183 0.113372 0.200679 0.345046 0.599974
2025-06-29 0.016015 0.031387 0.058803 0.110434 0.204152 0.365421 0.661385
2025-07-06 0.013531 0.027837 0.054497 0.106844 0.205739 0.382393 0.718484
2025-07-13 0.012226 0.026296 0.053588 0.109249 0.218292 0.419765 0.815731
2025-07-20 0.010928 0.024533 0.051964 0.109984 0.227665 0.452222 0.907421
2025-07-27 0.009820 0.022971 0.050487 0.110745 0.237071 0.485608 1.004385
2025-08-03 0.008899 0.021691 0.049459 0.112406 0.248766 0.525272 1.119334
2025-08-10 0.008258 0.020939 0.049453 0.116260 0.265561 0.577120 1.265046
2025-08-17 0.007144 0.018871 0.046225 0.112538 0.265579 0.594509 1.341471
2025-08-24 0.006419 0.017622 0.044667 0.112362 0.273355 0.629020 1.458050
2025-08-31 0.005704 0.016268 0.042649 0.110791 0.277692 0.656461 1.562136
2025-09-07 0.005308 0.015684 0.042418 0.113501 0.292387 0.708493 1.726935
2025-09-14 0.004752 0.014559 0.040650 0.112106 0.296964 0.737881 1.842911
2025-09-21 0.004197 0.013332 0.038423 0.109200 0.297385 0.757534 1.938088
2025-09-28 0.003684 0.012133 0.036086 0.105648 0.295673 0.771820 2.021846
2025-10-05 0.003453 0.011745 0.035932 0.108028 0.309784 0.826460 2.210924
2025-10-12 0.003185 0.011192 0.035223 0.108754 0.319554 0.871258 2.380048